AI Weekly Hotspot Report (06.13 - 06.20)

You are reading the weekly industry hot report generated for you by Gate AI Lab. Take a look at last week's most noteworthy market trends and important events, and we recommend investment analysis and financial strategies for you.

Word count: 7040 words ｜ Reading time 9.5 minutes.

Directory:

1. Market Trends
2. Analysis of Capital Flow and Price Fluctuations
3. Hot Topics
4. Main Events
5. Global Policies
6. Investment Analysis

1. Market Trends

1.1. Market Sentiment

This week, the total market value of digital currencies reached $3.10 trillion, with a week-on-week growth of 0.38%. The trading volume of exchanges increased by 1.11% compared to the previous week, reaching $114.741 billion. The price of Bitcoin rose slightly by 0.38% to $104,651.34. Overall, the market remains in a sideways consolidation pattern.

According to Gate's Fear and Greed Index, today's market sentiment is normal, with a Fear and Greed Index of 54, indicating that the overall market sentiment is relatively stable.

Crypto & Tradition Overview as of 09am UTC+8, Jun 20

1.2. Macroeconomic Impact

Recent data shows that the pace of global economic recovery is slowing, and inflationary pressures persist. The U.S. May CPI rose 4.90% year-on-year, higher than the expected 4.70%, while the core CPI increased by 5.60%, in line with expectations. The Eurozone's May CPI rose 6.10% year-on-year, surpassing the expected 5.90%. High inflation has intensified the pressure for major central banks to raise interest rates.

The dot plot from the Federal Reserve's June meeting indicates that the median benchmark interest rate is expected to be in the range of 3.75%-4.00% by the end of 2025, suggesting two more rate cuts. Currently, the market expects the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at a high level of 4.25%-4.50% by the end of this year. The European Central Bank may also raise interest rates once more within the year.

High inflation and tightening monetary policies will continue to suppress economic growth. The U.S. manufacturing PMI for May is 46.9, remaining in contraction territory for the seventh consecutive month. The Eurozone's composite PMI for May is 48.8, indicating that economic activity is slowing down. These macro factors have had a certain adverse impact on the cryptocurrency market, and investor sentiment is relatively cautious.

Overall, the current macro environment is complex and intertwined, with significant uncertainty remaining in the inflation and interest rate outlook, which will continue to affect the trends in the cryptocurrency market.

1.3 Financial Calendar

Analysis Summary:

Important economic data released this week include the total number of new home sales in the United States for May, the final revision of GDP for the first quarter, durable goods orders for May, the core PCE price index and personal spending for May. Among them, the core PCE price index is an inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve pays close attention to, which has a significant impact on interest rate decisions and is rated as high importance. Data such as final GDP revisions, new home sales, and durable goods orders reflect the state of economic fundamentals, which are crucial to the economic outlook, and are rated as medium importance. Other data, such as personal expenditures, were rated as low importance. The market will pay close attention to these data to judge the US economic growth and inflation situation, so as to predict the next policy direction of the Fed.

2. Analysis of Capital Flow and Price Volatility

2.1. Price Volatility Analysis

BTC Weekly Volatility: Based on the daily closing prices of BTC over the past week, the BTC weekly volatility is 0.82%.

The price of BTC has shown a slight upward trend this week, with a weekly increase of 1.23%. The price rise is primarily driven by positive macroeconomic data and easing geopolitical tensions. At the same time, continued accumulation by institutional investors has also provided support for the increase in BTC prices.

Change in Trading Volume: The average daily trading volume of BTC this week has increased by 6.71% compared to last week. The increase in trading volume reflects a rise in market activity and a growing demand from investors for BTC trading. An increase in trading volume often indicates potential price volatility.

Market Activity and Price Direction: Based on the changes in price and trading volume, the activity level in the BTC market has increased this week. The price has risen slightly, and trading volume has increased, suggesting that bullish forces have a slight advantage. In the short term, the BTC price may continue a moderate upward trend. However, due to the low volatility, the price direction remains uncertain.

2.2. Fund Analysis

According to the latest capital flow data, the inflow and outflow of major cryptocurrencies show a divergent trend. Among them, the two tokens FET and VIRTUAL have performed actively recently, with net inflows of $851,504.39 and $875,950.84, respectively. This reflects investors' preference and positive expectations for these two cryptocurrencies.

Meanwhile, the capital flow of other popular cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH remains relatively stable. This may indicate that investors' confidence in these mature cryptocurrencies is still strong, but there is a lack of favorable or unfavorable factors that could trigger large-scale capital movements in the short term. Overall, the activity level of the cryptocurrency market remains at a moderate level.

It is worth noting that there are certain differences in capital flow between institutional investors and retail investors. Institutional investors tend to focus more on the long-term development prospects of large cryptocurrency projects, while retail investors are more susceptible to short-term market fluctuations. This difference may impact the price trends of different cryptocurrencies in the future.

2.3. Smart Money Analysis

BTC Large Capital Movements According to the latest data, the large transaction volume of BTC shows a net outflow trend, indicating that institutional investors are gradually exiting their positions. This may suggest that BTC will face some selling pressure in the short term. However, in the long run, BTC, as the flagship of cryptocurrencies, will still attract significant inflow of funds.

ETH Large Capital Movements Unlike BTC, the recent large order transaction volume of ETH has shown a net inflow status, indicating that institutional investors are increasing their ETH positions. This may be related to the continuous development of the Ethereum ecosystem and the booming growth of applications like DeFi. Therefore, ETH may receive significant support in the short term.

Shitcoin Large Capital Movements Overall, the trading volume of altcoins shows a net outflow trend, indicating that institutional investors are gradually withdrawing from altcoin positions. This may be related to the recent uncertainty in regulatory policies and the overall poor performance of altcoins. Therefore, in the short term, altcoins may face significant selling pressure.

Predict Market Trend In summary, BTC may face some selling pressure in the short term, but the long-term upward trend remains unchanged; ETH may receive significant support in the short term; while altcoins may face considerable selling pressure in the short term. Investors can adjust their positions according to their own risk preferences.

3. Hot Topics

The era of Bitcoin millionaires is coming? Who can help you make big money first, BTC or XRP?

In June 2025, the price performance of Bitcoin and XRP attracted widespread attention. As two giants in the cryptocurrency field, their future trends are highly anticipated by investors. This report will delve into the latest developments of Bitcoin and XRP, analyzing which asset is more likely to help investors make a profit first.

Bitcoin: The Scarcity Appeal of Digital Gold

The total supply of Bitcoin is capped at 21 million, which protects it from inflation and showcases its unique scarcity value. Due to some Bitcoins being destroyed or inaccessible, the actual circulating supply of Bitcoin is even more limited. This supply shortage, combined with significant purchases by institutional investors, has driven the continuous rise in Bitcoin prices.

According to data, cryptocurrency funds attracted about $7.1 billion in net inflows in May, most of which flowed into Bitcoin ETFs. Well-known analyst Nic Puckrin stated that Bitcoin has become a benchmark price of $100,000 in the minds of investors. He predicts that with the loose policies of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, Bitcoin will be the biggest beneficiary.

XRP: A Powerful Tool for Cross-Border Payments

Meanwhile, XRP, as an efficient cross-border payment tool, is attracting more and more attention from institutional investors. Ripple has revealed that global e-commerce annual sales have surpassed $600 billion, laying a solid foundation for the application of XRP in the payment sector.

In addition, the latest technical upgrade of XRP has activated the native automated market maker function, which is expected to further enhance on-chain liquidity. The trading volume of Ripple's stablecoin RLUSD has also approached 10 billion USD. These positive factors are likely to drive up the price of XRP.

Which currency will make you big money first?

Although both Bitcoin and XRP are expected to create wealth in the future, their paths to wealth differ. Bitcoin relies on sustained demand driven by scarcity, while XRP needs to undergo a comprehensive transformation in multiple payment sectors to achieve peak price performance.

Analysts believe that Bitcoin's path is clearer. As long as factors such as ETFs, corporate finances, and national foreign exchange reserves continue to drive demand, Bitcoin is expected to allow investors to make big profits before XRP. However, XRP's long-term prospects in the payment field are also worth looking forward to.

This report is provided by [Cryptocurrency Information Platform], and the content is systematically compiled from major cryptocurrency media to present you with the latest and most popular cryptocurrency news. We will continue to monitor the dynamics of popular coins such as Bitcoin and XRP, bringing you the latest analysis reports at the first opportunity.

4. Major Events

Here are the Top 15 events that have significantly impacted the cryptocurrency market in the past seven days, listed in reverse chronological order:

Iran Exchange Hacked On June 19, 2025, the Iranian cryptocurrency exchange Noex was hacked, and approximately $100 million worth of assets were stolen. Noex stated that it would fully compensate users for their losses through its insurance fund and own funds. This incident has raised concerns in the market about the security of exchanges.

The U.S. Senate Passes Stablecoin Bill On June 18, 2025, the U.S. Senate voted to pass the "GENIUS Stablecoin Act," laying a legal foundation for stablecoin regulation. Industry insiders believe that this legislation will attract more traditional financial institutions into the cryptocurrency market.

Visa Expands Stablecoin Business On June 17, 2025, Visa announced a partnership with the African cryptocurrency exchange Yellow Card to expand the coverage of stablecoins. This indicates that traditional payment giants are accelerating their entry into the cryptocurrency space.

Revolut Considers Issuing Stablecoin 2025-06-16 London-based new bank Revolut is exploring the issuance of its own stablecoin and has been in talks with several crypto companies for cooperation. This reflects a strong interest from non-crypto companies in the stablecoin market.

Nauru Establishes Virtual Asset Management Bureau On June 15, 2025, the Republic of Nauru established the Command Ridge Virtual Asset Management Bureau through legislation, responsible for regulating the country's digital asset activities. This marks the country's effort to become a cryptocurrency hub in the Pacific region.

Plasma Project Launches Mainnet The Plasma blockchain optimized for stablecoins is scheduled to launch its mainnet in late summer 2025-06-14, which will support "the largest scale stablecoins." This reflects the industry's emphasis on the infrastructure development for stablecoins.

Police remind of the risks of virtual currency trading On June 13, 2025, the Ministry of Public Security released "20 Anti-Fraud Keywords for Public Security Organs," which includes "virtual currency," reminding the public to be vigilant against investment and financial fraud involving virtual currencies.

Galaxy CEO optimistic about stablecoin legislation On June 12, 2025, Galaxy founder Michael Novogratz stated that the stablecoin bill will attract more traditional financial institutions into the cryptocurrency market, promoting the integration of the two.

South Korea Develops Bitcoin Spot ETF Roadmap On June 11, 2025, the South Korean Financial Services Commission is drafting a roadmap for the launch of a Bitcoin spot ETF, with a positive policy direction.

Bitcoin ETF Net Inflow for Eight Consecutive Days On June 10, 2025, Bitcoin ETFs have shown net inflows for eight consecutive days, gathering $2.4 billion in funds. Institutional investors' demand for Bitcoin ETFs continues to grow.

Massive data breaches at companies like Apple On June 9, 2025, over 16 billion login credentials from companies like Apple and Google were leaked, raising concerns in the crypto industry about the security of user assets.

Publicly listed companies' Bitcoin treasury reserves exceed 768,500 coins On June 8, 2025, Coin Magazine Pro disclosed data showing that publicly listed companies have accumulated over 768,500 bitcoins in their treasury reserves, worth more than $82 billion.

Iran Imposes Curfew on Exchanges On June 7, 2025, Iran implemented a curfew on cryptocurrency exchanges to prevent capital outflow after a hacker attack on the Noex exchange.

Telegram founder granted permission to leave France On June 6, 2025, French authorities allowed Telegram founder Pavel Durov to leave France for Dubai for the second time, but only for 14 days.

Bitcoin holds at the $100,000 mark 2025-06-05 Despite rising geopolitical risks and the Federal Reserve sending hawkish signals, Bitcoin remains above the critical level of $100,000. Analysts believe this highlights Bitcoin's role as a macro hedge asset.

5. Global Policies

The following are new political dynamics, economic policies, and regulations related to the cryptocurrency industry, as well as an analysis of their impact on the industry and the market, based on news from June 13 to June 20, 2025:

1. The U.S. Senate passes the GENIUS Act

• Description: The U.S. Senate has passed the GENIUS Act, aimed at regulating stablecoins. The act requires stablecoin issuers to hold cash or cash equivalents equal to their value as reserves and to undergo audits.
• Impact Analysis: If the bill ultimately becomes law, it will establish clear rules for the issuance and operation of stablecoins, which will help improve the transparency and trust of stablecoins, but may also increase the compliance costs for stablecoin issuers.

2. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) initiates public comment period or approves Solana and XRP ETF

• Description: The SEC has initiated a public comment period on whether to approve the Solana and XRP spot ETFs, which is a key step in the approval of these ETFs.
• Impact Analysis: If the SEC ultimately approves these ETFs, it will provide a more convenient way for institutional and retail investors to invest in Solana and XRP, potentially driving the adoption and price increase of these two cryptocurrencies.

3. The Trump administration expressed support for cryptocurrencies

• Description: The newly elected Trump administration has stated that it will make significant contributions to the cryptocurrency industry, with both the nominated Treasury Secretary and SEC Chair being supporters of cryptocurrency.
• Impact Analysis: The supportive stance of the Trump administration may promote the clarification of cryptocurrency regulations in the United States and the introduction of favorable policies, benefiting the development of the cryptocurrency industry.

4. The geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran escalate

• Description: The geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran escalated on June 13, leading to increased volatility in the cryptocurrency market in the short term.
• Impact Analysis: The rise in geopolitical risks may affect investors' risk appetite, leading to short-term fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market. However, in the long run, the role of cryptocurrency as a new type of safe-haven asset may be further strengthened.

Summary:

From June 13 to 20, 2025, the U.S. saw some new political dynamics and regulatory policies regarding stablecoin regulation, cryptocurrency ETF approvals, and the new government's supportive stance on cryptocurrencies. At the same time, rising geopolitical risks also had a short-term impact on the cryptocurrency market. These new dynamics and policies are beneficial for the long-term development of the cryptocurrency industry, but they may also increase compliance costs and bring market volatility in the short term.

6. Investment Analysis

6.1. Investment Recommendation

Please note that these suggestions are based solely on current market analysis and are not financial advice. Investment carries risks, and decisions should be made cautiously.

6.2 Investment Strategy

This Week's Popular Token Analysis

Solana (SOL), XRP, Cardano (ADA) and other tokens have shown signs of recovery over the past week. However, the upcoming interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve casts a shadow, leading to increased market uncertainty. The outlook for these tokens in July still requires cautious observation, as market dynamics may change according to the Federal Reserve's policies.

Quantitative Strategy Summary

Introduction to Quantitative Strategies

1. The grid trading strategy involves setting multiple buy and sell grids, selling high and buying low during price fluctuations to earn the price difference between the grids. It is suitable for volatile markets.
2. The moving average strategy involves buy and sell operations based on the golden cross and death cross signals of the moving averages. It has lower risk but limited returns.
3. Market maker strategies provide liquidity within the bid-ask spread, earning fee income. The greater the volatility, the higher the risk.
4. The option selling strategy involves selling call and put options to earn option premiums. It is suitable for low to medium volatility markets.
5. Trend following strategies identify trends through technical indicators and take long or short positions to profit from the trend. Suitable for clearly trending markets.

Summary

This week's quantitative strategies are diversified, including grid trading and market-making strategies suitable for volatile markets, as well as relatively low-risk moving average strategies and trend-following strategies. Investors can choose based on their own risk preferences and market judgments.

6.3. Financial Management Products

Yubi Treasure

Yubibao helps to match users with idle assets and those in need of borrowing. After users subscribe to Yubibao, the system will determine whether the loan is successfully issued and the interest rate for that hour based on the borrowing rate set by the user and the actual borrowing demand at each whole hour. Successful loans will earn interest for that hour.

Total funds ( USDT ): 1.11 billion USDT annualized yield for the last 7 days: 4.36% + 8.87%

Wealth Management Treasure

The Wealth Management Treasure is a one-stop comprehensive financial service center established by Gate, including current, fixed, and all other financial plans, providing users with hundreds of types of digital currency financial products.

Structured Financial Products

Gate structured financial management is a new type of financial product based on a combination of fixed income and options and other financial derivatives. Generally, the settlement yield level is determined by comparing the performance of the underlying asset's price during the investment period with the specified reference price, which can be divided into two types: principal-protected and aggressive.

4. Market Interest Rate

Note:

1. TradFi is an abbreviation for traditional finance, referring to the interbank lending rate.
2. CeFi is short for Centralized, referring to the range of funding interest rates for centralized cryptocurrency financial platforms.
3. DeFi is an abbreviation for Decentralized, referring to the range of funding interest rates on decentralized financial platforms.

Disclaimer: The above data is provided by a third party for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Users should assess risks on their own and assume final responsibility.