In Polymarket, JD Vance ranks first with a 28% chance of winning the 2028 U.S. presidential election.

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On August 6, according to official website information, the probability of winning the 2028 U.S. presidential election on Polymarket is as follows: current Vice President and Republican candidate JD Vance ranks first with 28%; Democratic candidate Gavin Newsom ranks second with 13%. The current winning probabilities of other candidates have not exceeded 10%. U.S. President Trump stated in an interview on CNBC's economics talk show "Squawk Box" last night at 20:00 that current Vice President Vance is "most likely" to become the heir of his "Make America Great Again" (MAGA) movement.

TRUMP-1.94%
BOX-1.55%
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