U.S. debt is rising? Damo report: "10-year US Treasury yield" expected to fall to 3.75% in mid-2025

Financial Institution Morgan Stanley recently released its 2025 Global Strategic Outlook report. In the report, Morgan Stanley analysts predict that the US 10-year Treasury yield is expected to fall to 3.75% by mid-2025, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 75 basis points in the first half of 2025. (Synopsis: US congressman recommended: sell Fed gold for 1 million BTC strategic reserves) (Background supplement: Trump wins the US election debt and wants a big dump? Analyst: Both long and short factors, uncertainty deepens) The US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced a 2-yard rate cut in September, cutting the Intrerest rate to 4.75% to 5%, completing the first rate cut since 2020. And in November, it announced another 1 yard cut, cutting the Intrerest rate to 4.5% to 4.75%, continuing a new cycle of rate cuts. U.S. bond prices do not rise but fall However, after the Federal Reserve officially launched the interest rate cut cycle in September, the price of U.S. bonds did not rise as expected, in addition to the long-term U.S. bonds have risen ahead of time because they are expected to be bullish, experts analyze possible reasons include: The U.S. Treasury continues to issue debt to fill the government deficit (if Trump returns to the White House, the U.S. fiscal deficit may increase again) The Fed tried to shrink the balance sheet and eliminated a large amount of Treasury bond purchase demand, resulting in Recent economic data show that the inflation effect is still stalemate Damo: US 10-year Treasury yields are forecast to fall to 3.75% But according to earlier reports in the Wall Street Journal, US Financial Institution Morgan Stanley recently released its 2025 Global Strategic Outlook report. In the report, Morgan Stanley analysts predict: The US 10-year Treasury yield is expected to fall to 3.75% by mid-2025 and just above 3.5% by the end of next year. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 75 basis points ($3) in the first half of 2025. According to MacroMicro data, the latest yield Intrerest Rate of US 10-year Treasury bonds is 4.44%, as the US Treasury yield Intrerest Rate continues to rise after the Fed rate cut in September, indicating that the market expects the Fed rate cut to slow down; However, Morgan Stanley analysts predict that the 10-year U.S. Treasury Intrerest rate will fall to 3.75% in 8 months, whether it means that the bond market is about to bottom out Rebound, this is worth our continued follow-up. Fed rate cut in December in 64 waves According to Bloomberg, Ed Al-Hussainy, strategist at US management company Columbia Threadneed, said: The US Treasury market is struggling to find a direction, and there are too many uncertainties affecting the market. In addition, Fed Chairman Powell released a hawkish speech on the 15th, saying that if economic data allows, it is wise to cut interest rates slowly, which makes the market's December rate cut forecast show six or four waves. According to CME Fedwatch, the market predicts a 38.1% chance of not cutting interest rates in December and a 61.9% chance of a 1-yard rate cut, which is far from the 82.5% market forecast of a 1-yard rate cut on the 14th. Extended reading: Ball hawk "no rush to cut interest rates" BTCprice drops $86,600, U.S. stocks all collapsed, October PPI shows inflation is still sticky Related reports Fed microphone: Trump's election may trigger the "inflation resurgence" crisis! U.S. bond yield Intrerest rate hits 3-month high U.S. bond market predicts inflation will rise again, Fed aggressive interest rate cut planted time bomb? Trump wins the US debt and wants a big dump? Analyst: Both long and short factors, uncertainty deepens 〈U.S. bonds are about to rise? Damo Report: The "10-year U.S. Treasury Yield Intrerest Rate" is expected to fall to 3.75% in mid-2025" This article was first published in BlockTempo's "Dynamic Trend - The Most Influential Block Chain News Media".